Original title: Make up one knife: the United States wants to wage war?
Writer / Hu Yidao The
United States wants to evacuate overseas Chinese globally! Does this mean that a war is about to begin?
On April 3, the US State Department’s Bureau of Consular Affairs tweeted a message on social media that caused a lot of speculation in China.
And these speculations are quite “infectious” on the circle of friends and the Internet-the United States is likely to start a war, the location may be the South China Sea or the Taiwan Strait; of course, it may also be against Venezuela or Iran.
Is this really the case? With the current epidemic in the United States being so severe and the number of infected people approaching 350,000, is it possible for the United States to wage a major war to divert the current major crisis?
This warning notice issued on Twitter, through the US Department of State Bureau of Consular Affairs very urgent tone.
The U.S. Department of State ’s Consular Affairs Bureau called on Americans overseas to return home as soon as possible. “The U.S. Department of State urges Americans not to postpone their return to China. All transportation may be unavailable soon.”
Moreover, the U.S. Department of State ’s Consular Affairs Bureau wrote on the drawing “ “U.S. citizens should now make plans to return home.” They also emphasize “Now” in bold font. The tweet links to the Global Level 4 health warning issued by the official website of the US State Department of Consular Affairs on March 31-do not travel.
It can be seen that in this warning, the US State Department advised US citizens to avoid all international travel. American citizens living in the United States should immediately arrange to return to the United States unless they plan to stay abroad indefinitely.
Obviously this is an unusual warning notice.
Looking at the wars that have occurred in the past few decades, the United States will also mobilize its citizens overseas to return to the country as soon as possible, and then choose the appropriate time to start the war. When the United States attacked Iraq in 2003, there was a similar move. Therefore, this has become an important basis for some people to speculate that the United States may wage war again.
The second basis is that the new coronavirus epidemic has become a global pandemic, and the number of confirmed infections in the United States is increasing at a “rocket speed” of 30,000 people per day. Right now, the total number of infected people in the United States is close to 350,000, and the number of deaths immediately exceeds 10,000. Trump has just warned that the United States may usher in the death toll in the next two weeks.
The Director of the US Department of Health Jerome Adams said that the US epidemic will usher in the “Pearl Harbor Moment”, which will be the “most difficult and sad” day for most Americans. “The next will be our Pearl Harbor moment, ‘9.11’ moment … We really must understand that if we want to smooth the curve to the other side, everyone needs to do their duty.”
Economically, The United States is in a bad situation. The number of unemployed persons registered for the first time in the entire United States last week has reached a record-breaking 6 million, compared with 3.12 million the previous week. The domestic economy and people’s living conditions are similarly pressed by the “pause button.” Many large American companies have issued warnings, which may be the most difficult one, and have thrown out layoff plans.
Therefore, in this severe situation, the United States is afraid that the United States will run out of control (or be close to a stable state), a severe economic crisis will erupt, and social conflicts will continue to highlight, and the political ruling class in the United States will use war to transfer the conflicts.
The third basis is that, judging from the information currently transmitted by the US military, it seems that it has begun to enter a quasi-wartime state.
“Russia Today” on March 29 disclosed that the North Command of the United States had dispersed important command parts to the famous Cheyenne Mountain bunker in Colorado and another secret location and isolated them. The purpose of the Northern Command is to ensure that these people can work normally in the event of an epidemic, and monitor the potential threat to the United States around the clock.
The Cheyenne Mountain underground bunker is the product of the cold war “nuclear cloud”. It is located on the outskirts of Colorado Springs. Between 1965 and 2006, the base was used as the main command and control center of the North American Air Defense Command. The largest military command center with the most modern equipment.
Because it is located in the center of the mountain, the top and the surrounding of the building are surrounded by rocks that are hundreds of meters thick, forming an unbreakable bunker. Its independent facilities are placed in a large 20,000 square meter excavation tunnel. The tunnel is hidden behind a 25-ton explosion-proof door. It was designed to enable the highest commander of the US military to survive the nuclear strike.
Combined with the media’s last exposure, if the high-level government and parliament in Washington, DC, are unable to command the country, then the commander of the Northern Command will take over the military command of the entire country. Someone on the Internet said that this move to the Northern Command must be detailed …
Plus, on the last day of the end of March, the US military reconnaissance aircraft entered the East China Sea, the Yellow Sea, and the South China Sea at the same time. Implementing strategic deterrence against Iran; the United States issued a wanted order against Venezuelan state leader Maduro; the US military rarely calls for 1 million reserve soldiers … It
seems that the breath of war is indeed getting a bit stronger.
Although these signs are very rare compared to usual, from a practical point of view, if the United States wants to fight a war at this time, regardless of whether the target is China or Russia, or Iran in the Middle East, there are many constraints.
First of all, the infection of the US military is already serious, which leads to its large-scale use of military power overseas, which will bring itself a lot of risks.
As of April 3, a total of 978 active military personnel in the US military had a positive virus test, in addition to 306 civilian personnel, 256 military family members and 108 military contractors diagnosed with infection. Moreover, even the Pentagon of the US military command center has seen multiple infections. The United States National Guard even had a confirmed death one week later.
In the infection of the US military, the navy is definitely the hardest hit.
Needless to say, the aircraft carrier “Roosevelt” will soon become the “Princess Roosevelt”. Because the captain disclosed the serious situation of the infection on the ship, the senior US military could no longer hide it. The US Navy issued a statement on the 4th that among the officers and men of the nuclear-powered aircraft carrier “Roosevelt” docked in Guam, 155 people had tested positive for the new coronavirus.
Even the dismissed captain Crozer was confirmed to be infected with the virus.
At present, 44% of the approximately 5,000 officers and soldiers on board the “Roosevelt” aircraft carrier have been tested for the new coronavirus, and more than 1,500 people have been transferred ashore. None of the diagnosed patients have been hospitalized. The U.S. military will continue to conduct virus detection on all personnel on board, and disinfect the aircraft carriers in ports. This also means that the “Roosevelt” has no ability to dispatch.
The embarrassment faced by the US Navy doesn’t stop there. Another aircraft carrier deployed in the Asia-Pacific, “Reagan”, is in a state of rest, but there have been two cases of infection before. It is still unknown whether there are other cases of infection.
Faced with the “vacuum” dilemma where no aircraft carrier is available in the Asia-Pacific, the US military hastily transferred the aircraft carrier Truman from the Middle East. At present, the only two aircraft carriers that the US military can mobilize at any time are in the Middle East-the Truman and Eisenhower, which were used to threaten Iran.
A US official confirmed to the US Foreign Policy magazine on the 5th that the US Department of Defense will withdraw an aircraft carrier from the Middle East. To fill the gap left in the Western Pacific waters because the aircraft carrier “Roosevelt” could not perform combat readiness missions.
Think about it. Since the Second World War, the regional wars launched by the United States have been inseparable from aircraft carriers. Moreover, if the opponent is a slightly stronger opponent, at least two aircraft carrier strike groups are also required. Therefore, judging from the current state of readiness of the US Navy, it is not the right time to fight a war.
Secondly, if the United States fought a war, it should be ammunition and grain. But now the major American arms manufacturers, from Boeing to General Motors, from Thor to Lockheed Martin, are struggling to find ways to produce ventilators and masks faster.
Especially in the production of ventilators, it has risen to the perspective of national strategic security. The “Defense Production Law” is a sword hanging over them. If missiles and bombs that are not needed to fight the epidemic are still produced in large quantities at this time, on the one hand, they will not get the funds from the federal government. Will condemn in unison.
Third, if the United States wants to fight a war, the most fundamental guarantee is to have a lot of capital. As far as modern warfare is concerned, as weapons become more sophisticated, their cost becomes higher and higher, and the ammunition used is also expensive, so fighting a regional war will be a “money black hole.”
In 2003, the United States launched the Iraq War, mobilizing 120,000 people by land, sea, and air forces, fighting for 42 days. According to a research report launched by Brown University in the United States, the US government spent $ 6 trillion for that war. Today, in 2020, the United States will fight such a war again, the cost will only be greater.
However, the domestic epidemic in the United States is very serious and the economy is stagnating. The White House and Congress have just passed a 2 trillion economic subsidy and stimulus plan. Moreover, the US government is now at the highest point in debt history. So, now the White House can’t spend trillions of dollars to fight a war, hundreds of billions will not work. After all, anti-epidemic is now the top priority.
Now the United States does begin to recruit 1 million reserve soldiers, but mainly to fight the epidemic in China. According to the Constitution and the National Emergency Law, US President Trump has authorized the Department of Defense and the Department of Homeland Security to recruit armed forces reserve soldiers to participate in anti-epidemic operations.
After all, with the phrase “Pearl Harbor may arrive in the next two weeks”, the United States is currently facing another war, and its opponents are invisible viruses. And this opponent is more brutal than ordinary opponents.
According to the mobilization order, the service period this time is likely not to exceed two years. This is the fourth time that the US President has mobilized reserve soldiers since World War II, and this time the number of convenes has set a historical record, and the age threshold for convening has been relaxed to under 50. It can be seen that the United States is now short of manpower to deal with the epidemic.
Moreover, it is not easy to say how many people can come back after conscripting 1 million reserve.
What can these reserves do? The main purpose is to help build field hospitals and emergency shelters in New York, California, and Washington State to prepare for patients with new coronary pneumonia. In addition, they will be responsible for maintaining the safety of the city in the disaster area, ensuring the security environment, and avoiding looting and protests due to shortage of materials.
Brother Dao asked a number of experts on American issues. They all believed that the warning notice issued by the US Department of State ’s Consular Affairs Bureau was because the US military is now unable to patrol the world as usual due to the epidemic situation and protect U.S. interests overseas in a timely manner; 2 Because the epidemic is getting worse, the United States told all overseas citizens to come back before they closed the country.
Of course, under the epidemic, will the United States use other means to deter and suppress other countries? This possibility cannot be ruled out.
For example, in the case of Venezuela, the United States not only announced a reward of $ 15 million for Maduro, but also announced on April 1 that the United States and some other countries will launch the largest anti-drug operation in the Western Hemisphere to prevent “drugs from Venezuela from entering the United States “.
According to the plan, the United States will increase the deployment of naval and air forces in the Caribbean and the South Pacific, and the United States Southern Command will transfer naval ships to the border of Venezuela ’s territorial waters.
Therefore, from the perspective of national security, we should not take it lightly in any situation, and we must make various preparations.
One thing is clear. Under the increasingly serious epidemic situation, the Trump administration’s “America First” policy will be more thoroughly implemented. Therefore, how much impact it will have on the global industrial chain and supply chain requires preparation. In terms of finance and economy, the United States will definitely consider its own interests first.
In the field of public opinion and diplomatic warfare, we must also be prepared for the insidious moves of American politicians. Of course, what we hope to see more is that the US government can work together with other countries in the world to fight the epidemic. This is also the position currently advocated by most Americans and people of insight.