The number of US presidential primaries, said “Super Tuesday”: Four PK suspense to be solved

Original title: The number of US presidential primaries, said “Super Tuesday”: Four PK suspense to be solved

China news agency, Washington, March 3 Question: say the number of US presidential primaries “Super Tuesday”: Four PK suspense to be solved

in the new News Agency reporter Chen Mengtong: The

US 2020 presidential election schedule ushered in the “Super Tuesday” primary election polling day.

Every election year, some U.S. states, overseas territories, etc. usually choose to hold a primary election on a Tuesday on the first half of the election cycle. The “commitment representative” generated by the voting on that day, with a large number of seats, a wide geographical coverage, and a strong representation of multi-ethnic voters, has always been regarded as an important “watershed” for candidates, so it is called “Super Tuesday”.

With 5 people vs 2 people on

2020 Super Tuesday, Democrats and Republicans are 5 to 2 in the number of candidates.

In addition to U.S. President Trump seeking re-election, the Republican Party also has a challenger, former Massachusetts governor Weld, 74. However, Trump’s approval rate in the party is more than 90%, and public opinion generally believes that he has no suspense in winning the primaries.

The focus is on the Democratic side. In the past three days, three people have retired. The Democratic Party had run for up to 28 people in the race track, and now there are five people left. They are Federal Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, former Vice President Joe Biden, former Mayor of New York Mike Bloomberg, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, and Representative of the Federal Assembly of Hawaii. Elsie Gabad.

After the four early voting states ended, Sanders temporarily relied on the strong performance of the first three stops, and Biden, who won in South Carolina, rebounded and returned. The eyes of voters and pollsters have focused on the two.

77-year-old vs. 78-year-old and

77-year-old Biden, representatives of the Democratic “establishment”, advertised themselves as “can do things” candidates. Sanders, 78, is a high-profile “radical” who advocates reform. Universal health insurance, free higher education, and climate change have been his policy propositions for decades.

Biden’s election “run low and go high,” on March 2 he received the support of former candidates such as Butigig, former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, and Sen. Klobutcher, federal senator of Minnesota. This also indicates that the “institutional” ballots within the Democratic Party are rapidly being assembled in Biden.

And Sanders’ widespread support among young voters and hispanics cannot be underestimated. According to the latest polls, his approval rating in California, the No. 1 ticket box on “Expired Tuesday”, is significantly ahead.

500 million vs. 310 million

According to Bloomberg News to its founder, in the week before “Super Tuesday”, Bloomberg’s campaign advertising investment has exceeded the 500 million US dollar mark. That’s $ 190 million more than the combined advertising spending of other major candidates.

Bloomberg’s campaign has been called the “most expensive” in the history of the US presidential campaign. According to analytics company Advertising Analytics, as of February 21, he has spent $ 505.8 million on campaign advertising. Since Bloomberg announced his candidacy, he has spent an average of $ 5.5 million a day.

Bloomberg’s approach was criticized for “purchasing votes with money” and was questioned by other Democratic candidates. His abandonment of four early voting states and a direct bet on “Super Tuesday” has also caused some voters to be dissatisfied.

His poor opinion in polls has been all the way due to his poor performance on the television debate for the first time in February. The Associated Press commented that Bloomberg bet $ 500 million on “Super Tuesday” and “Let’s see if the money is worth it.”

1344 votes vs 155 votes

This year’s “Super Tuesday” Democratic primary election, including 14 US states, overseas territories American Samoa, and overseas Democrats, will generate a total of 1344 “committed representative” seats, accounting for about three-points one. The previous four early voting states had decided only 155 seats.

If Iowa and New Hampshire primary elections are the “vane vanguard” of the U.S. election, then “Super Tuesday” will be a “watershed moment” for candidate movements. It means that the first half of the primary election has come to an end, and some influential groups and donors have also begun to choose supported candidates based on the election results.

The Democratic primary contender for the US Democratic Party is competing for the “committee” seat in the July National Congress. According to the election rules, if a candidate can get more than half of the 3979 “committed representatives” in the first round of voting, he will be nominated directly by the presidential candidate. Otherwise, 771 “super representatives”, including members of the Democratic National Committee and Democratic congressmen, will join the vote until someone gets more than half of the votes needed for the nomination.

According to the National Association of Secretary of State, which is responsible for coordinating state elections, because the laws of the US states are different, the biggest feature of primary elections is “decentralization”, that is, there is no unified electoral operation process and counting method in all states.

Ticketing time, statistical methods and even jet lag may affect the election of “Super Tuesday”. Take California, which has 415 “promise representative” votes, as an example. The state’s voting does not end until 11 pm EST. And because a significant portion of voters cast their votes by mail, the final results may not be announced until weeks later.

Although Sanders led the early voting states and maintained the lead in California, Biden ranked first in polls in Texas and Virginia. Within hours of the day of the poll, the US poll site “Five Thirty Eight” analyzed that the Democratic candidate’s candidacy is the most likely. (End)

Responsible editor: Zhang Shen

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